Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.602565 4.964407 5.355433 5.811953 6.333601 6.915090 7.618013
2025-07-27 4.124753 4.638159 5.232414 5.981718 6.917244 8.069657 9.635375
2025-08-03 3.771561 4.356383 5.064658 6.006518 7.260844 8.930262 11.430859
2025-08-10 3.478090 4.095050 4.867164 5.935630 7.431872 9.553140 13.011954
2025-08-17 3.205423 3.826231 4.621893 5.756055 7.406660 9.867554 14.176635
2025-08-24 3.009495 3.636150 4.456520 5.657782 7.469840 10.305437 15.641166
2025-08-31 2.901426 3.550644 4.419942 5.730534 7.787930 11.191993 18.182633
2025-09-07 2.785684 3.444720 4.343702 5.732613 7.988952 11.911988 20.659760
2025-09-14 2.620686 3.260396 4.142552 5.525391 7.818853 11.931023 21.603879
2025-09-21 2.494922 3.123438 3.999992 5.395122 7.760476 12.145669 23.101651
2025-09-28 2.397268 3.020513 3.899876 5.321826 7.789387 12.532327 25.215715
2025-10-05 2.333072 2.961423 3.859988 5.340183 7.980928 13.285780 28.768209
2025-10-12 2.287871 2.931026 3.866476 5.444397 8.363090 14.586323 35.203088
2025-10-19 2.253397 2.914837 3.894160 5.588462 8.848969 16.290491 45.192311
2025-10-26 2.193605 2.857589 3.853658 5.609886 9.093493 17.486792 54.975933
2025-11-02 2.120234 2.776213 3.769748 5.546192 9.151038 18.209084 63.738525
2025-11-09 2.031794 2.668257 3.637565 5.384822 8.978151 18.237783 68.434570
2025-11-16 1.964319 2.589591 3.548770 5.296384 8.955033 18.711466 77.701422
2025-11-23 1.931988 2.563295 3.543481 5.361864 9.286412 20.403503 103.675926
2025-11-30 1.889483 2.519314 3.506412 5.363734 9.471131 21.703315 134.056299
2025-12-07 1.814444 2.421948 3.376065 5.177096 9.182258 21.250125 137.993133
2025-12-14 1.756019 2.348921 3.283859 5.059553 9.050910 21.353578 153.713597
2025-12-21 1.710073 2.294043 3.219956 4.993343 9.038895 21.913052 184.972454